[Medium] Foreword to Pierre Zalloua’s book Ancestors: Identity and DNA in the Levant

Some people believe that the Levant is the end of the East and a portal to the West; others describe it as the end of the West and a portal to the East. Those in the first group tend to belong to the main branches of the Islamic faith, while those in the second belong to various Christian Levantine churches. Now, one might think that the two descriptions are equivalent: an intersection, after all, is an intersection. However, by the same mechanism that generates the so-called ‘narcissism of small differences,’ not only are these two statements not equivalent, but they are, in practice, contradictory. It even took a civil war for the Lebanese to understand this fallacy.

Read the complete foreword on Medium.

Get the book on Amazon.

[X] The Shortest Foreword on Antifragile for Two Textbooks

shortest possible discussion on Antifragile

The foreword accompanies the following textbooks:

  1. Applied Antifragility in Technical Systems: From Principles to Applications
    Authors:
    • Cristian Axenie
    • Meisam Akbarzadeh
    • Michail A. Makridis
    • Matteo Saveriano
    • Alexandru Stancu
  2. Applied Antifragility in Natural Systems: From Principles to Applications
    Authors:
    • Cristian Axenie
    • Roman Bauer
    • Oliver López Corona
    • Jeffrey West

[X] Foreword to a textbook on Antifragility by Jeffrey West et al.

Writing the foreword to a textbook on Antifragility by @mathoncbro et al: ANTIFRAGILITY is not a rediscovery of hormesis, but a mathematical framework uniting classes of phenomena and, centrally, transferring from the dose-response to the probabilistic domains.

[Twitter | X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Conjecture Tested: Experiment Shows Results of Trading with News in Advance

Link to paper – papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4965616

The Fourth Quadrant: a Map of the Limits of Statistics

Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the “logic of science”; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the applied tools of epistemology; you can’t be a modern intellectual and not think probabilistically—but… let’s not be suckers. The problem is much more complicated than it seems to the casual, mechanistic user who picked it up in graduate school. Statistics can fool you. In fact it is fooling your government right now. It can even bankrupt the system (let’s face it: use of probabilistic methods for the estimation of risks did just blow up the banking system).

Link to essay – www.edge.org/conversation/the-fourth-quadrant-a-map-of-the-limits-of-statistics