Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/1995136663178133556
Category: Economics
Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Warns to Hedge Against Crash as Debt Crisis Looms
(Bloomberg) — author Nassim Taleb said investors should insure against a stock-market crash as structural issues such as the US debt burden threaten to derail an otherwise unstoppable rally.
Even with US stocks making multiple record highs and corporate profits surging, Taleb, a distinguished scientist for hedge fund Universa Investments, warns that the real danger now comes from visible risks, so-called “white swans,” that most people ignore until it’s too late.
Read the full article: finance.yahoo.com/news/nassim-taleb-warns-hedge
[Medium] The World in Which We Live Now
Lecture at the Annual Meeting of the Ron Paul Institute, 2025
Friends, I have seven points. Why seven? Because I’ve been reading too much Babylonian history recently.
FROM CONNECTIVITY TO TECHNOFEUDALISM
The first one is about concentration, a distinctive feature of the modern world, often tied to what I called the Black Swan problem. We now see winner-take-all effects everywhere, owing to connectivity. Imagine an island with many species but a high density per square meter. Compare that to a continent, where opening up space leads to fewer species per meter because some will eventually dominate. This mirrors cultural and economic life today.
Continue reading on Medium: nntaleb.medium.com/the-world-in-which-we-live
[X] The World in Which We Live by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Link to Post on X – https://x.com/nntaleb/status/1961529861622968404
[YouTube] Nassim Taleb on Risks, Gold, Private Markets, Trump Tariffs
Nassim Taleb, author of “The Black Swan,” and scientific advisor at Universa Investments, says he doesn’t think the “consciousness of risks” has improved over the last 25 years. He discusses the increasing US deficit, gold as a reserve currency, the opacity of private markets, and why the Trump administration’s approach to tariffs “makes no sense.”
00:00 – Taleb on “consciousness of risks”
02:12 – What drives markets
04:23 – Taleb on the US dollar and gold as a reserve currency
07:18 – Nassim Taleb on hedge funds and the opacity of private markets
09:33 – Trump administration’s tariff approach “makes no sense,” Nassim Taleb says
[X] Bitcoin, Currencies, and Fragility (Bitcoin Black Paper)
Link to Post on X – https://x.com/nntaleb/status/1918680615647387940
Link to Paper – arxiv.org/pdf/2106.14204
[X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking Edition
Covering P HACKING and REGRESSION HACKING Minimum words, just results, the opposite of social science long dissertations with no results.
[X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
x.com/nntaleb/status/1894412822198575337
THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
Extracting regression hacking, how much pseudoregression points are expected from m trials.
Next, will get p-hacking.
Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Says Nvidia Rout ‘Is the Beginning’
Black Swan author Nassim Taleb says the steep plunge in Nvidia exposes the equity market’s fragility, while warning of more losses ahead. Speaking to Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak on the sidelines of Miami Hedge Fund Week, Taleb says a drawdown two or three times bigger than Monday’s 17% selloff is “absolutely in line” with what the market should expect.
