Link to X – x.com/nntaleb/status/1881368835950776820
Author: Admin
[X] Nassim Taleb announces #RWRI 20 (Real World Risk Workshop) 2025 (Scholarships/financial aid available)
Number 20: July 7-18, 2025; 8:30-11:45 Eastern Standard Time, plus optional afternoon discussions.
Pricing: $2,995(Scholarships/financial aid available for up to 65% of the class).
Contact: Alicia Bentham-Williams, [email protected],cc:[email protected]
[X] The Shortest Foreword on Antifragile for Two Textbooks
The foreword accompanies the following textbooks:
- Applied Antifragility in Technical Systems: From Principles to Applications
Authors:- Cristian Axenie
- Meisam Akbarzadeh
- Michail A. Makridis
- Matteo Saveriano
- Alexandru Stancu
- Applied Antifragility in Natural Systems: From Principles to Applications
Authors:- Cristian Axenie
- Roman Bauer
- Oliver López Corona
- Jeffrey West
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Postpones Jaipur Literature Festival (JLF) Attendance to 2026
The Jaipur Literature Festival (JLF), often referred to as the ‘greatest literary show on Earth,’ is a globally renowned annual event that brings together prominent voices from literature, politics, science, and the arts. Held in Jaipur, India, the festival fosters intellectual engagement through insightful sessions, performances, and meaningful dialogue. The 18th edition is set to take place from January 30 to February 3, 2025, at Hotel Clarks Amer.
[X] Year in Review 2024
PROBABILITY DU JOUR: Independent vs. Uncorrelated
Link to Tweet – x.com/nntaleb/status/1870801149185630394
Paper: Informational Rescaling of PCA Maps with Application to Genetic Distance
Abstract
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a powerful multivariate tool allowing the projection of data in low-dimensional representations. Nevertheless, datapoint distances on these low-dimensional projections are challenging to interpret. Here, we propose a computationally simple heuristic to transform a map based on standard PCA (when the variables are asymptotically Gaussian) into an entropy-based map where distances are based on mutual information (MI). Moreover, we show that in certain instances our proposed scaled PCA can improve cluster identification. Rescaling principal component-based distances using MI results in a representation of relative statistical associations when, as in genetics, it is applied on bit measurements between individuals’ genomic mutual information. This entropy-rescaled PCA, while preserving order relationships (along a dimension), quantifies relative distances into information units, such as “bits”. We illustrate the effect of this rescaling using genomics data derived from world populations and describe how the interpretation of results are impacted.
Link to Paper – www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2001037024004136
[YouTube] Fragility, Robustness, and Antifragility
Public talk by Nassim Nicholas Taleb at the Jassim Al-Qatami Engineering Lecture Hall on December 9, 2024, exploring fragility, robustness, and antifragility with insights on Lebanon and Palestine. Taleb begins speaking at 55:39.
[X] Foreword to a textbook on Antifragility by Jeffrey West et al.
Writing the foreword to a textbook on Antifragility by @mathoncbro et al: ANTIFRAGILITY is not a rediscovery of hormesis, but a mathematical framework uniting classes of phenomena and, centrally, transferring from the dose-response to the probabilistic domains.
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Deliver a Public Talk at the American University of Beirut on December 9
Join us for a public talk by Dr. Nasim Taleb of the Department of Industrial Engineering & Management at MSFEA. Dr. Taleb, author of a multivolume essay, the Incerto (The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and Skin in the Game), will discuss fragility, robustness, and antifragility with applications to the current contexts of Lebanon and Palestine. Dr. Taleb’s Incerto is among the most discussed work of the 21st century. Location: Jassim Al-Qatami Engineering Lecture Hall (ELH) Date: December 09, 2024 Time: 6:00 PM