The best enemy is the one you own by putting skin in his game and letting him know the exact rules that come with it. You keep him alive, in the knowledge that he owes this to your benevolence. The notion that an enemy you own is better than a dead one was perfected by the order of the Assassins, so we will do some digging into the work of that secret society.

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Medium Post: Facta non Verba: How to Own Your Enemies

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March 16th, 2017

Category

Academic, Writing

Looking the Part

Say you had the choice between two surgeons of similar rank in the same department in some hospital. The first is highly refined in appearance; he wears silver-rimmed glasses, has a thin built, delicate hands, a measured speech, and elegant gestures. His hair is silver and well combed. He is the person you would put in a movie if you needed to impersonate a surgeon. His office prominently boasts an Ivy League diploma, both for his undergraduate and medical schools.

The second one looks like a butcher; he is overweight,

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Medium Post: Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons

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March 16th, 2017

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Writing

Nassim discusses “how ‘evidence’ about the risk of terrorism as shown in the NYT and by BS vending journos makes no sense statistically” and  “explains the difference between classes using principles of Extreme Value Theory EVT without any math.”

Video: Nassim on Naive Empiricism, Terrorism, and Ebola

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March 16th, 2017

Category

Academic, MOOCs, Videos

While in Jaipur, Nassim was interviewed for The Hindu. In that interview, he explains his support for Trump:

In Skin in the Game, you seem to build on theories from The Black Swan that give a sense of foreboding about the world economy. Do you see another crisis coming?

Oh, absolutely! The last crisis [2008] hasn’t ended yet because they just delayed it. [Barack] Obama is an actor. He looks good, he raises good children, he is respectable. But he didn’t fix the economic system, he put novocaine [local anaesthetic] in the system. He delayed the

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Nassim: “Trump makes sense to a grocery store owner”

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March 16th, 2017

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Politics, Statements

(Background. The Black Swan explains the domain-dependence of expertise: why the electrician, dentist, are experts, while the journalist, State Department bureaucrat, and macroeconomist are not. Since then, there has been a global movement against the pseudo-expert, the serial incompetence of a certain class of babbling and pompous operatives across bureaucrato-academic professions. Which leads to the question: who is the real expert? Who decides on who is and who is not expert? Where is the metaexpert? Time it is. Or, rather, Lindy.)

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Medium Post: An Expert Called Lindy

Posted on

March 16th, 2017

Category

Academic, Writing