A continuation of Nassim and Yaneer’s regular conversation. In this video, they discuss:
1) The errors in ignoring scaling for pandemics. Why a doctor’s micro-expertise doesn’t transfer to collective risks?
2) How evidence-based medicine is closer to anecdote based medicine owing to silent risks?
3) The risks of morbidity must be accounted for.
4) How the dangers of vaccines do not scale.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb talks about the pandemic with EconTalk host Russ Roberts. Topics discussed include how to handle the rest of this pandemic and the next one, the power of the mask, geronticide, and soul in the game.
Link to Podcast –
Direct Link (mp3):
You can get English subtitles by:
Step 1. Click on Settings (gear icon), Subtitles/CC and select French (auto-generated). Step 2. Go to Settings again, Subtitles/CC and then select Auto-translate and then select English.
It should then show as “
Subtitles/CC (2) French (auto-generated) >> English“
Modern financial theory assumes that distributions are elliptical. We show what happens if the assumption doesn’t hold. And the assumption doesn’t hold.
Diversification does NOT reduce risks in the financial market; it causes near-certain long term blowups under any leverage.
Nassim Taleb joins EndCoronavirus.org Founder, Yaneer Bar-Yam, for a Town Hall discussion.
Website: EndCoronavirus.org Join Us: EndCoronavirus.org/join Take Action: Community.EndCoronavirus.org Twitter: twitter.com/endCOVID19 Instagram: instagram.com/end_covid19 Facebook Page: facebook.com/endcoronavirus.org Facebook Group: facebook.com/groups/endcoronavirus
In this conversation, Nassim Taleb and Dr. Pasquale Cirillo speak about their paper on the tail risk of contagious diseases and other related things.
The paper will be available on this link on Monday, May 25 at 5pm (CET):
Link to the Paper –
Tail risk of contagious diseases
Interview starts at about 1:57:30 of the Facebook video
Moderator: Mr. Nikunj Dalmia (Managing Editor, ET Now)
facebook.com/abcabslmf/videos/243939166875554/ YouTube Video:
Never produce a point estimate for risk management, esp. in a fat-tailed domain, rather show statistical properties. Never judge a risk management stance from point forecasts.
The history of Universa Investments featuring Nassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel discussing tail hedging, their 20+ years of working together, and the importance of risk mitigation in investing.
Nassim Taleb, Universa Investment’s scientific advisor and distinguished professor of risk engineering at NYU, warned of an acute virus spreading throughout the planet in his 2007 book “The Black Swan.” In January, he also warned of the systemic risks of the coronavirus pandemic. He joins “Squawk Box” to discuss.
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