The following article by Mark Buchanan was recently published on Medium. It discusses recent analysis by Nassim, along with Pasquale Cirillo, of historical warfare statistics. This analysis contradicts the popular idea that future violent wars are unlikely:

Violent warfare is on the wane, right?

Many optimists think so. But a close look at the statistics suggests that the idea just doesn’t add up.

A spate of recent and not so recent books have suggested that “everything is

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Violent Warfare: On the Wane?

Posted on

May 19th, 2015

Category

Academic, Statements

As the keynote speaker for the 2015 Fletcher Political Risk Conference, Nassim spoke about Fat Tails.

Video: Fat Tails

Posted on

May 18th, 2015

Category

Academic, Videos

Nassim joins psychologist Daniel Kahneman and journalist Gillian Tett in discussing intuition and instincts and their consequences in decision-making.

Video: Intuition — Marvels and Flaws

Posted on

May 16th, 2015

Category

Academic, Videos

Nassim’s statement on climate models, along with Joseph Norman, Rupert Read, and Yaneer Bar-Yam. He says, “We have *only one* planet and need to learn to live with imperfection of models.” nassim-statement-on-climate-models Posted on Nassim’s facebook page.

Statement on Climate Models

Posted on

May 15th, 2015

Category

Statements, Writing

This is an audio recording of Nassim speaking at the Stanford Technology Ventures Program’s Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders series. It’s called How Things Gain From Disorder.

Audio Recording: How Things Gain From Disorder

Posted on

May 14th, 2015

Category

Academic, Podcasts

On twitter, Nassim refers to a “mistake” he made “about power laws with ‘near-infinite’ but not infinite support.” He explains in this document:

Nassim’s Mistake About Power Laws

Posted on

April 14th, 2015

Category

Academic