Covering P HACKING and REGRESSION HACKING Minimum words, just results, the opposite of social science long dissertations with no results.
[X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking Edition
[X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
x.com/nntaleb/status/1894412822198575337
THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
Extracting regression hacking, how much pseudoregression points are expected from m trials.
Next, will get p-hacking.
[X] The importance of Taleb’s system
[X] Maximum Ignorance Probability with Application to Error Rates and Rare Events
Link to post – x.com/nntaleb/status/1892340170109653096
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Co-Teach Thick Tail Statistics at the American University of Beirut
Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Says Nvidia Rout ‘Is the Beginning’
Black Swan author Nassim Taleb says the steep plunge in Nvidia exposes the equity market’s fragility, while warning of more losses ahead. Speaking to Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak on the sidelines of Miami Hedge Fund Week, Taleb says a drawdown two or three times bigger than Monday’s 17% selloff is “absolutely in line” with what the market should expect.
[YouTube] The IQ debate, a conclusion
Just to show, in conclusion to my article “IQ is a pseudoscientific swindle”, that psychologists arguing with it proved that IQ doesn’t explain up to 99.5% of things it is supposed to explain. It’s not my data, but theirs that they did not interpret correctly.
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Multi-Testing: It’s Impossible Not to Find Statistically Significant Links Between Random Variables
It is IMPOSSIBLE to not find a statistically significant link between any 2 random variables under multi-testing. I generated 9 pairs of totally random variables, picked the highest R^2, and it beats what you see in papers. #FooledbyRandomness
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Expands on His Critique of IQ and Statistical Misuse
[X] Nassim Taleb announces #RWRI 20 (Real World Risk Workshop) 2025 (Scholarships/financial aid available)
Number 20: July 7-18, 2025; 8:30-11:45 Eastern Standard Time, plus optional afternoon discussions.
Pricing: $2,995(Scholarships/financial aid available for up to 65% of the class).
Contact: Alicia Bentham-Williams, [email protected],cc:[email protected]