At Visa GCC Connect 2025, bestselling author of The Black Swan and Antifragile, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, issued a stark warning: the real fragilities aren’t hidden, they’re in plain sight. From soaring Western debt to AI disrupting white-collar professions, Taleb argues that global power is shifting back to the East, with China and Africa on the rise. His advice: systems cannot be engineered top-down. True resilience comes from entrepreneurs, risk-takers, and bottom-up innovation. Speaking at Visa GCC Connect 2025, Milan, Italy.
Tag: AI
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says AI Is Reducing Wikipedia Traffic, Even in Stable Math Topics

Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2036156236140294255
Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Warns to Hedge Against Crash as Debt Crisis Looms

(Bloomberg) — author Nassim Taleb said investors should insure against a stock-market crash as structural issues such as the US debt burden threaten to derail an otherwise unstoppable rally.
Even with US stocks making multiple record highs and corporate profits surging, Taleb, a distinguished scientist for hedge fund Universa Investments, warns that the real danger now comes from visible risks, so-called “white swans,” that most people ignore until it’s too late.
Read the full article: finance.yahoo.com/news/nassim-taleb-warns-hedge
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Speaking at RPI Blueprint For Peace 2025
Ron Paul Institute Blueprint For Peace Conference
- Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
- Time: 9:30 a.m. – 3:30 p.m. EDT
- Location: Hilton Washington Dulles Airport, 13869 Park Center Road, Herndon, VA 20171
Event topics include:
- US/NATO proxy war in Ukraine
- Statements by President Biden about Russia
- Political positions related to Ukraine and China
- US national debt and interest payments
- Conflict and humanitarian situation in Gaza
- AI-driven “pre-crime” surveillance
Speakers:
- Dr. Ron Paul, Founder, Ron Paul Institute
- Daniel McAdams, Director, Ron Paul Institute
- Col. Douglas Macgregor, Former Advisor to US Secretary of Defense
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Author of The Black Swan
- Max Blumenthal, Editor-in-Chief, The Grayzone
- Anya Parampil, Journalist and Producer, The Grayzone
Get your Tickets Here
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Scaling LLMs and Why It Won’t Lead to AGI
Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Says Nvidia Rout ‘Is the Beginning’
Black Swan author Nassim Taleb says the steep plunge in Nvidia exposes the equity market’s fragility, while warning of more losses ahead. Speaking to Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak on the sidelines of Miami Hedge Fund Week, Taleb says a drawdown two or three times bigger than Monday’s 17% selloff is “absolutely in line” with what the market should expect.
Bloomberg: Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Fragility of Markets, Political Risk, AI
Nassim Taleb, Black Swan author and Universa Investments distinguished scientific advisor, talks about the fragility of markets, how to hedge against geopolitical risks and artificial intelligence. He’s on “Bloomberg Markets.”
[YouTube] NASSIM TALEB ON: The Art Of Dentistry
NASSIM TALEB ON: The Art Of Dentistry. Video in Arabic.
Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop) [PRIVATE]
Workshop organized by the Real World Risk Institute. The workshop is an intense 10-day online program, and the 18th edition took place from July 10-21, 2023.
This video discusses the capabilities and limitations of large language models like GPT, the challenges of setting constraints on AI systems, and the potential risks and consequences of AI decision-making. The video talks about:
- The concept of a “stochastic parrot” in language processing and machine learning.
- How language processing systems like GPT use data from the web to generate responses.
- Attempts to “trick” GPT with questions requiring nuanced understanding.
- The simple operation of GPT in predicting the next word in a sequence.
- The use of language models as a new interface to computers.
- The integration of GPT with Wolfram Alpha for computations and informed responses.
- The similarity between writing good prompts for GPT and expository writing.
- The training data for GPT, includes nonsense, fiction, and factual information.
- The problem of the “self-licking lollipop” in information sources.
- The concept of “necessarily human work” requires human choice and input.
- The potential for AI to make decisions and the challenges of setting constraints.
- A thought experiment called “promptocracy” for AI decision-making.
- The actuation layer of AI and the difficulty of setting constraints.
- The phenomenon of computational irreducibility and trade-offs in AI computation.
- The potential risks of AI decision-making and the need for understanding large language models.

