Social Security Administration Archives

Nassim Nicholas Taleb recently shared his thoughts on the potential risks associated with President Joe Biden’s age and cognitive health on X (formerly Twitter).

People with cognitive decline (even when mild) have a much shorter life expectancy, so from the differential I would say that Biden has >60% chance of leaving us in the next 4 ½ years.

These irresponsible idiots fail elementary risk analysis. pic.twitter.com/AfWvSTbV1b
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) June 30, 2024

I hear some idiots arguing that Biden, while slow, can operate and make some decisions. They don't get that life is dynamic not static: next year he will be worse than he is today; and the year after that… Absence of degradation would be a true tail event.
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) June 30, 2024