At Visa GCC Connect 2025, bestselling author of The Black Swan and Antifragile, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, issued a stark warning: the real fragilities aren’t hidden, they’re in plain sight. From soaring Western debt to AI disrupting white-collar professions, Taleb argues that global power is shifting back to the East, with China and Africa on the rise. His advice: systems cannot be engineered top-down. True resilience comes from entrepreneurs, risk-takers, and bottom-up innovation. Speaking at Visa GCC Connect 2025, Milan, Italy.
Tag: Geopolitics
[Bloomberg] Nassim Taleb Warns About Software Bankruptcies, Volatility
Nassim Taleb, author of “The Black Swan” and distinguished scientist at Universa Investments, warns that markets are underpricing structural risks while overestimating the durability of recent AI leaders. Speaking with Bloomberg’s Natalia Kniazhevich, Taleb also weighs in on US tariff policy and the market impact of increasing tensions between Iran and the US.
[Medium] The World in Which We Live Now

Lecture at the Annual Meeting of the Ron Paul Institute, 2025
Friends, I have seven points. Why seven? Because I’ve been reading too much Babylonian history recently.
FROM CONNECTIVITY TO TECHNOFEUDALISM
The first one is about concentration, a distinctive feature of the modern world, often tied to what I called the Black Swan problem. We now see winner-take-all effects everywhere, owing to connectivity. Imagine an island with many species but a high density per square meter. Compare that to a continent, where opening up space leads to fewer species per meter because some will eventually dominate. This mirrors cultural and economic life today.
Continue reading on Medium: nntaleb.medium.com/the-world-in-which-we-live