Category: X
[X] Data Hacking and the Large D small N problem
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Large Language Models (LLMs) and the Problem of Induction
[X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking Edition
Covering P HACKING and REGRESSION HACKING Minimum words, just results, the opposite of social science long dissertations with no results.
[X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
x.com/nntaleb/status/1894412822198575337
THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR
Extracting regression hacking, how much pseudoregression points are expected from m trials.
Next, will get p-hacking.
[X] The importance of Taleb’s system
Link to Post on X – https://x.com/BrankoMilan/status/1893784881844584521
[X] Maximum Ignorance Probability with Application to Error Rates and Rare Events
Link to post – x.com/nntaleb/status/1892340170109653096
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Co-Teach Thick Tail Statistics at the American University of Beirut
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Multi-Testing: It’s Impossible Not to Find Statistically Significant Links Between Random Variables
It is IMPOSSIBLE to not find a statistically significant link between any 2 random variables under multi-testing. I generated 9 pairs of totally random variables, picked the highest R^2, and it beats what you see in papers. #FooledbyRandomness
