Micro Mooc #3. The law of large numbers is the most important thing in life and science. It is the basis of epistemology and problem of induction. How many observations do you need to know if something is true? We get into the plumbing and show how it is too slow under fat tails. This is a simplified (but technical) presentation of a segment of “Probability and Risk in the Real World”, the Technical Companion for The Black Swan http:// www. fooled by randomness. com/ FatTails. html
A quick tutorial introducing the idea of Fat Tails in about 8 minutes, as simply as possible. Fat Tails make us understand the world much less than we think; they make much of the quantitative results in social “science” anecdotal (or worse, negative information).
The main (more complicated) text is at http:// www. fooled by randomness. com/ FatTails. html
A definition of fragility from Part V of Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and technical papers. This is simplified.
This starts a series of micro Moocs. The aim is an intuitive discussion of technical points in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Antifragile. Sort of Video footnotes.
Rafael del Pino Foundation organized, on July 3, 2013, the keynote of Nassim Nicholas Taleb titled “Antifrágil. Las cosas que se benefician del desorden” (Antifragile: Things that gain from disorder) on the occasion of the presentation of his work with the same title.
Preview: Entrevista. Antifrágil. Las cosas que se benefician del desorden
Full talk: Conferencia. Antifrágil. Las cosas que se benefician del desorden.
The author and philosopher and the Ogilvy Group UK vice-chairman join John Plunkett at the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity to discuss how ideas relating to resilience, uncertainty, randomness and variation can apply to the advertising industry. They look at how the ’80/20′ theory of resource allocation can lead to disproportionate gains for minimal risk
Here is the video from the Nassim Taleb Stanford Entrepreneurial Lecture Series posted earlier in audio format.
In this seminar, entrepreneurial leaders share lessons from real-world experiences across entrepreneurial settings. Speakers include entrepreneurs, leaders from global technology companies, venture capitalists, and best-selling authors. Half-hour talks are followed by a half hour of class interaction.
Learn More: http://stanford.io/V5YQ0b
This is a response to an audience member at Nassim’s talk at Concordia University…
The Department of Political Science and Loyola College for Diversity and Sustainability present Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a world renowned author and scholar who will discuss his work on uncertainty, randomness, and disorder outlined in his new book: Antifragile. Taleb’s works focuses on decision making under uncertainty, as well as technical and philosophical problems with probability and metaprobability, in other words “what to do in a world we don’t understand”