.org (UNOFFICIAL news site)
Errata: 30 Trillion not Billions.
Event Invitation: A Conversation with Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Hosted by: The Institute of Political Science at the Saint Joseph University of Beirut and Kulluna Irada
Event Title: From Ponzi to Antifragility, 4 Years Later
Featuring: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Topics: Gaza, Centralization, the Lebanese Economy, and Conspirationism
Moderator: Karim Emile Bitar
Date and Time: Thursday, January 11, 2024, at 6 PM
Location: Gulbenkian Auditorium, USJ Social Sciences Campus, Huvelin Street, Achrafieh
Virtual Attendance via Zoom:
Join us for an insightful evening with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, discussing critical contemporary issues in a conversation moderated by Karim Emile Bitar.
On CNBC’s ‘The Exchange’, host Kelly Evans engages in a discussion with Scott Patterson and Nassim Nicholas Taleb on how Wall Street traders made billions by making big bets around major catastrophes.
Link to article – www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/25/2/343
A maximum entropy alternative to Bayesian methods for the estimation of independent Bernouilli sums.
HRV appears to be ill-defined in papers and regressions; using logged variables fixes the problem.
Link to paper – fooledbyrandomnessdotcom.wordpress.com/on-heart-rate-variability-mismeasurement/
Nassim tweeted that he added more aphorisms on the 3rd edition of his book, The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms.
The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms is a philosophy book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb written in the aphoristic style. It was first released on November 30, 2010 by Random House. An updated edition was released on October 26, 2016 that includes fifty percent more material than the 2010 edition.
Global Technical Incerto Reading Club is going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
They aim to cover: Chapter 10: It is what it is: diagnosing the S&P 500 Chapter 11: Probability Calibration under Fat Tails Our confirmed speakers are @Sharpe_Actuary , @MFergal and @MarcosCarreira.
Everyone is welcome to sign up at meetup.com/global-technical-incerto-reading-club
Most of the tension resides between 1) Embedded, complexity-minded, multiscale/fractal localism (politics as an ecology/complex adaptive system), and 2) Abstract one-dimensional universalists and monoculturalism (politics as a top-down engineering project). We go beyond the verbalism; we rely on information theory, complexity theory, uncertainty approaches (say fragility), and probabilistic rigor to look at politics with the same eyes as we examine highly dimensional interactive elements such as nature, biological systems, internet networks, and medical issues.
Link to Paper – academia.edu/38433249/Scala_Politica
Link to article – Some (Mis)Understanding of Life Expectancy, With Some Good News