Admin, Author at Nassim Taleb

[YouTube] Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes

On November 23, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Videos

An antifragility tutorial, with application to supply chains.

On Heart Rate Variability (HRV) and Its Mismeasurement

On October 21, 2021 By Admin In Twitter, Writing

On Heart Rate Variability (HRV) and Its Mismeasurement https://t.co/scq3v1zmjy via @wordpressdotcom
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) October 20, 2021

HRV appears to be ill-defined in papers and regressions; using logged variables fixes the problem.

Link to paper – fooledbyrandomnessdotcom.wordpress.com/on-heart-rate-variability-mismeasurement/

Nassim completes 3rd edition of The Bed of Procrustes

On October 4, 2021 By Admin In Twitter, Writing

Nassim tweeted that he added more aphorisms on the 3rd edition of his book, The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms.

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms is a philosophy book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb written in the aphoristic style. It was first released on November 30, 2010 by Random House. An updated edition was released on October 26, 2016 that includes fifty percent more material than the 2010 edition.

2/2#BedofProcrustes, 3rd Ed. pic.twitter.com/RAMSY85taN
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) October 3, 2021

[YouTube] Detecting Quackery in a Psychology Paper

On October 1, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Videos

A simple case study where model error shows the claims in a paper published in a “prestigious” psychology journal to be false. Why worry about low R^2.

[Medium] Snowden, Phony hence Traitor?

On August 9, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Writing

When you catch someone with a shoddy-but-carefully-curated story, Edward Snowden, producing the mother of bad faith arguments (in effect, lying) while, in addition, facilitating a character assassination (and severe cyberharassment), something very, very sinister about the person emerges that can help answer some fundamental yet still hanging questions.

Continue reading on Medium: medium.com/incerto/snowden-phony-hence-traitor-86ee41197578

[YouTube] A Conversation between Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Stephen Wolfram at the Wolfram Summer School 2021

On July 31, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Videos

Stephen Wolfram plays the role of Salonnière in this new, ongoing series of intellectual explorations with special guests.

[Online] Global Technical Incerto Reading Club goes through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails

On July 28, 2021 By Admin In Twitter

Our reading club going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) continues on Thursday evening with Session 5. Everyone is welcome to sign up for the session:https://t.co/QuJgteam64

1/2
— Ronald Richman (@RichmanRonald) July 26, 2021

Global Technical Incerto Reading Club is going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

They aim to cover: Chapter 10: It is what it is: diagnosing the S&P 500 Chapter 11: Probability Calibration under Fat Tails Our confirmed speakers are @Sharpe_Actuary , @MFergal and @MarcosCarreira.

Everyone is welcome to sign up at meetup.com/global-technical-incerto-reading-club

[YouTube] Explanations for the last video (Difference Between Clinical and Evidence-Based Knowledge)

On July 28, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Videos

Explanations for the last video [Difference Between Clinical and Evidence-Based Knowledge]: Why the statistical properties of a group will NOT particularize to any individual member of the group.

[YouTube] Evidence-Based Science & Mistakes in Particularizing the General (Simplified)

On July 22, 2021 By Admin In Statements, Videos

1) The law of large numbers (properties of aggregates) works in one direction. Why you can generalize from particulars, never particularize from generals.

2) The difference between clinical, statistical, and risk management approached. Why they don’t scale.

3) Never compare Mediocristan to Extremistan (Covid to car accidents).