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[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on a Probability Puzzle About Heights

On December 26, 2025 By Admin In General, X

Probability Puzzle About Heights

Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2003842691638116668

Tagged with Expected Value, Infinite Expectation, Intuition Failure, Modeling Assumptions, Probability, Risk, statistics, Uncertainty

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From Taleb’s Recommended Reading

The Hour Between Dog and Wolf: Risk Taking, Gut Feelings and the Biology of Boom and Bust

by John Coates

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Models.Behaving.Badly.: Why Confusing Illusion with Reality Can Lead to Disaster, on Wall Street and in Life

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