Nassim will present his first medical paper on antifragility on Monday, November 28 at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine. On Facebook, Nassim says that this is “basically, a more technical version of the book Antifragile.” He also adds “Note that this is not making any standalone empirical point, rather gluing various phenomena under the convexity argument, with necessary connections (if… then necessarily).”
Tag: University
Nassim’s Commencement Speech to the American University in Beirut
Nassim discussed definitions of success and his own life journey in this commencement speech at the American University in Beirut. The full text of the speech, published on Nassim’s home page, is available below.
Nassim N. Taleb: How We Tend To Overestimate Powerlaw Tail Exponents
Nassim Taleb has linked to a new paper on his Facebook Page: How We Tend To Overestimate Powerlaw Tail Exponents
October 2012
In the presence of a layer of metaprobabilities (from metadistribution of the parameters), the asymptotic tail exponent corresponds to the lowest possible tail exponent regardless of its probability. The problem explains “Black Swan” effects, i.e., why measurements tend to chronically underestimate tail contributions, rather than merely deliver imprecise but unbiased estimates.
Link: http :// www. fooled by randomness. com/ minexponents. pdf
Nassim Taleb Lecture Notes: Randomness, Decisions, and Human Nature
A reader has sent in a copy of Nassim’s Lecture notes from when he was teaching a course at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA in 2005. The course/lecture series are titled: Randomness, Decisions, and Human Nature (SOM 797R – SYLLABUS).
Unfortunately all the links within the PDF are missing, if anyone has a copy with all the working links to studies, research papers, books, articles, images, etc, please let us know!