- Why violence did not drop (the Pinker Problem)?
- Pandemics
- What an “infinite mean” means?
- What causes power laws?
Tag: Power laws
[YouTube] Power Laws (maximally simplified)
Power laws, extremely simplified.
What is Invisible in the Probability Distribution?
For n observations, what is the hidden moment? What are you missing from the “empirical” distribution?
Say the maximum flood was 3 meters or maximum loss was 22%. What are we missing in the statistical properties?
Link to the Paper mentioned in the video – What You See and What You Don’t See: The Hidden Moments of a Probability Distribution
[YouTube] Tutorial: Simple Trick to see the effect of Power Laws
A simple tutorial explaining how in the presence of power laws (with low exponent) most of the body of the distribution becomes noise. Once you establish that a variable is in the power-law class, some necessary consequences come out. To debunk that history is dominated by tail events, you must show it does not follow a power law.
Note: If viewing this as an email please click through to the post to view content.
Final Version of Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails on arXiv Now Available
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, and Applications
PDF Download Link: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2001.10488
Book cover for Nassim’s next book Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, and Applications
Nassim and Pasquale’s work appears in ICCS 2018: Unifying Themes in Complex Systems IX
A recent work with @nntaleb just appeared in “ICCS 2018: Unifying Themes in Complex Systems IX”.https://t.co/a4FU760FGX pic.twitter.com/TDvEekhtrs
— Pasquale Cirillo (@DrCirillo) August 1, 2018
Link: On the Shadow Moments of Apparently Infinite-Mean Phenomena
Technical Incerto, Vol 1: The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
From Nassim Taleb’s Facebook Page:
My Technical Incerto Vol1: The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails is almost done. This is the freely available draft for error correction.
Link to Paper: https://www. academia. edu/ 37221402/ TECHNICAL…
Link to Facebook Discussion: https://www. facebook. com/ nntaleb/ posts/ 10156061900203375